Web3哲学家Arnaud

In essence, all my philosophical thoughts and practices up to now have been for one word: nature. The way follows nature. The gift and curse of high sensitivity, combined with growing up in a pre-modern Confucian family and social environment, make me constantly troubled by the internal struggle between innate nature and social constructs. Throughout my life, I have borne responsibility for the repression of the great Other and others' mistakes, with nowhere to escape, thus forming a personality that is both fragile and resilient, becoming my own guide. Ultimately, I yearn for a free and peace

Intuition: AI and Crypto will become more deeply integrated in ways never seen before. The specifics still need to be explored; just marking it for now.

You can use "showing weakness" as a way to gain public sympathy, but do not indulge in self-pity, and never truly believe that you are weak or a victim. The morality of the weak has always been a form of moral coercion onto others, not a definition of oneself. The wise show others softness and weakness, while internally being extremely strong.

My macro inference on the US economy and monetary policy: The most likely scenario is that the "devirtualization to real economy" reform proposed by Trump-Washington cannot be realized because the US can no longer truly compete with China in the real economy, especially in manufacturing. This is fundamentally not a monetary policy issue but a chronic national problem. Cutting interest rates + rejecting QE will initially cause risk assets and safe-haven assets to jump due to the rate cut benefits, but then they will be pressured downward because of the Fed's hawkish stance on QE. Ultimately, th

"Getting off the boat" is the most self-deceptive phrase I've ever seen, as if accomplishing something means life will be smooth sailing from then on. Many people always think that doing something will instantly improve their lives: studying, working, getting married, immigrating, as if these things can instantly change life. Life doesn't change; your problems always need answers, and every process is the cause of life, ultimately becoming the present you.

Today, while riding my bike, I happened to come across a critique of Harry Potter reflecting Western social class views on Lao A. I was just casually listening while riding, and it happened to be about the recent hot topic of Lao A's ideology. After listening for about ten seconds, I specifically stopped my bike in the rain, took out my phone, and turned off the audio. Because I felt like my brain was being raped.

Many people mention that the current gold situation is similar to 1979-1980, possibly leading to a sharp decline. However, it is worth noting that the biggest difference between 2025-2026 and 1979-1980 is that the Federal Reserve is not only unwilling but also mathematically incapable of raising interest rates as aggressively as Walter did. If the dollar raises interest rates aggressively, the US government will be unable to pay interest, leading to a US debt default, which would be equivalent to suicide for the United States. Therefore, now gold is not like 1980, but more like 1940-1950: a tu

I don't understand why most people dislike declines, always "hoping that BTC won't fall below 100,000, 90,000, 80,000, 70,000…". Unless you have all your funds in BTC, these hopes are unreasonable. The market needs healthy declines to establish good prices. Wish less and analyze more logically. When it rises, you want to short; when it falls, you curse. These are different manifestations of market tantrums and need to be addressed.

Kevin Woorosh's appointment as Federal Reserve Chair implies that the Fed is likely to maintain the "Higher for Longer" dollar milkshake policy. This means the Fed will not rush into QE and YCC, maintaining a relatively strong dollar to avoid inflation (hyperinflation must not erupt before the mid-term elections, as the Democrats are losing due to inflation!). This is the reason for the recent simultaneous decline in safe-haven and risk assets. This scene will continue until signals of a crisis appear, at which point the Fed will have an excuse to bail out the market, implementing QE, YCC, or

Abstract macro data is often deceptive. A high body fat percentage sounds bad, but it could also be due to having a large chest; a high employment rate sounds good, but it might be because of the gig economy. The key is to continue breaking down this abstract data to see which parts make up this performance, and these details are the key to making the right judgment.

Everyone has an emptiness inside regarding the meaning of life. Some fill it by attaching to others (the so-called borderline personality), while others fill it by accepting others' admiration (the so-called narcissistic personality). The varying intensity of this emptiness reflects the strength of borderline versus narcissistic traits. The essence of Dom and Sub relationships is also about using superficial power dynamics to project each other's answers to the question of life's meaning. Ultimately, everyone needs to answer a question: if no one is coming, how will I face my own shadow? Every

The word "trauma" is often misused. Using "trauma" to describe something focuses on the feelings and emotions at the time. This concept is frequently used in a broad sense, to the point that many times when I see the word "trauma," I can't actually identify the real trauma involved. Many experiences described as "trauma" are actually opportunities for growth and learning. Reflecting rationally is often a better approach than emotional rumination. The use of "trauma" to justify placing oneself in the victim position can lead to self-pity and sympathetic resonance, which in turn hinders the deve

The world encourages主体性 narratives, but the vast majority of people are willingly being driven by others, simply because it is less effort. This social structure will become increasingly prominent with the rapid advancement of AI and the process of economic and financialization. Huge cognitive and economic gaps will form between people, and we must choose a side: to become leaders or dependents. The middle class will be squeezed, the myth of hard work leading to wealth will be shattered, and what follows is the modernization of social values. All of this is already happening.

Sensitive, internally it is internal friction; externally it is insight. Paranoid, internally it is internal friction; externally it is verification. Leadership is about transforming abstract anxiety into concrete instructions. Omniscient and omnipotent, elusive, institutionalized pressure, directive execution. Thus, he is strategic and decisive. This is the prototype of Cao Cao.

In the era of AI explosion and its gradual emergence as "cognitive infrastructure," if a person does not achieve an exponential increase in their cognitive level, they will fall significantly behind the times. AI will divide humanity into two categories: the majority whose cognition stagnates, choosing to lie flat, ultimately leading most low- and mid-level knowledge workers to be replaced by AI and become the "useless class"; a small minority will leverage AI to exponentially enhance their learning efficiency, drive AI to improve productivity, or choose professions that are difficult for AI t

Promise me, is it okay to only use an electric toothbrush for brushing teeth?