ASTER Eyes 25% Rally, But Only If Key Conditions Hold

Bitcoin fell below $63,000 and rebounded to around $70,000, with institutional funds continuing to flow in to support the BTC price.

Bitcoin rebounded after a weekend correction, approaching $70,000, mainly due to short covering and institutional capital inflows. Market sentiment remains cautious, trading volume has increased, but geopolitical risks still pose an impact. In the short term, BTC price may fluctuate within the $60,000 to $70,000 range.

BTC 15-minute increase of 0.79%: ETF capital net inflow and institutional buying drive short-term rally

2026-03-04 06:30 to 06:45 (UTC), BTC gained +0.79% in 15 minutes, with a price range of 68123.1-68672.3 USDT, achieving a 0.81% fluctuation. During this period, trading volume significantly increased, market attention rose, and volatility exceeded the intraday average, reflecting active short-term capital and heightened trading enthusiasm. The main driver of this anomaly is the continuous net inflow into the US spot BTC ETF products, especially single-day capital inflows led by major institutions (such as a peak of $458 million on a certain day in early March), pushing the market.

ETH 15-minute increase of 0.95%: Macroeconomic safe-haven funds flow in and DeFi innovations drive fluctuations

On March 4, 2026, from 06:30 to 06:45 (UTC), ETH achieved a return of +0.95% within 15 minutes, with a price range of 1967.24 to 1986.41 USDT and an amplitude of 0.97%. The short-term abnormal movement highlights increased market attention and is accompanied by heightened volatility, drawing significant focus from trading communities and on-chain funds. The main driver of this abnormal movement is the influx of macro hedging funds. Major Asian stock markets experienced a sharp decline, with the largest single-day drop exceeding 12%, prompting global funds to seek safe havens. Cryptocurrencies, as a mainstream alternative, received a notable influx of capital.

Bitcoin implied volatility has increased from approximately 38.5% to 53.1%.

Matrixport's analysis shows that Bitcoin's implied volatility has risen to 53.1%, but analysts believe this level is normal. Despite geopolitical tensions, the crypto market has been restrained, indicating limited hedging demand. Implied volatility may decline in the coming weeks, providing opportunities for traders.

The altcoin market is experiencing a structural decline, with 38% of tokens approaching historical lows, as funds continue to flow into Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The current crypto market is showing clear divergence, with 38% of altcoins trading near historical lows and facing ongoing selling pressure. Liquidity is tightening, with market funds concentrating in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Some public chain projects remain active, but liquidity for many altcoins has decreased significantly, transaction costs have risen, and market vulnerability has increased. Additionally, enhanced European regulation could further accelerate market concentration, and the long-term disadvantages of fringe altcoins are becoming more apparent.

Ripple payment volume exceeds 100 billion USD, XRP Binance liquidity hits new low

Ripple announces that its payment platform transaction volume has surpassed $100 billion, covering over 60 markets, demonstrating the success of its cross-border payment solutions. However, XRP's liquidity index on Binance has dropped to a new low, indicating a significant decline in trading activity, which could impact price volatility risk. Analysis points out that even with business growth, low liquidity does not necessarily immediately improve market conditions.