ChainCatcher reports that according to Jintou, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows a 90.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until March, and a 9.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 26.4%, the probability of holding rates steady is 71.5%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 2%. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 51.8%.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
IMF Projects US Inflation to Hit 2% Target by Early 2027, Delaying Fed Rate Cuts Amid Fiscal Risks
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) released its first Article IV review of the Trump administration on February 25, 2026, projecting that U.S. inflation will not return to the Federal Reserve's 2% target until early 2027, delaying meaningful interest rate relief.
CryptopulseElite3h ago
Trump's State of the Union Address: No mention of cryptocurrencies, inflation hinders the Federal Reserve's rate cuts
Trump did not mention cryptocurrencies in his State of the Union address, instead emphasizing artificial intelligence and tariff policies, indicating that the government is deprioritizing cryptocurrencies. Additionally, persistent high inflation and unstable tariff policies pose structural obstacles to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut plans, creating a negative impact on the crypto market.
MarketWhisper4h ago
XRP Today News: ETF and legislative favorable factors double as catalysts, analysts bullish on $2
On February 25th, XRP price rebounded to $1.4335, an increase of 6.27%, driven by the inflow of U.S. cryptocurrency ETF funds, progress in the Market Structure Bill, and positive NVIDIA earnings reports. Analysts predict that if legislation proceeds smoothly, XRP could surge to $2 in the medium term. Market sentiment remains influenced by multiple factors, including the Bank of Japan's policies and overall market liquidity.
MarketWhisper4h ago
IMF Warning: U.S. Inflation Unlikely to Reach Target Before 2027, Federal Reserve Rate Cut Delayed
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) report states that U.S. inflation will not reach the 2% target until early 2027, indicating that high interest rates will persist. The fiscal deficit is projected to remain between 7% and 8% of GDP, warning of rising government debt. The IMF recommends fiscal consolidation instead of tariffs to reduce the deficit, which differs from the Trump administration's strategy. The report shows that room for interest rate cuts is structurally constrained, which also impacts the cryptocurrency market.
MarketWhisper6h ago
[Token Analysis] Stablecoins: Payments, Investments, or Rewards? The Impact of the U.S. Tertiary Classification System
The document "Bank Deposit Stability and Stablecoin Yields" submitted by the U.S. SEC proposes a three-tier classification system for stablecoins and provides detailed regulatory frameworks and auditing standards. It offers valuable insights for stablecoin regulation in South Korea and emphasizes the importance of creating regulatory tools that adapt to new technologies.
TechubNews9h ago
Cryptocurrency surges, physical asset stocks stagnate... Gold and large tech stocks remain strong, with NVIDIA's performance attracting attention
The New York stock market and the cryptocurrency market have recently rebounded, with a particular focus on the recovery of software stocks. The Nasdaq experienced its first consecutive gains in two months, and large tech stocks also performed strongly. However, the credit market has issued warnings, and opinions on the impact of AI vary significantly. Bitcoin surged due to a lawsuit, while precious metals and the US dollar showed weak trends. All eyes are on Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, with market expectations that its performance will trigger changes.
TechubNews9h ago
