Gate News bot message, a newly created wallet has placed a $100K bet on a potential U.S. strike against Iran in March. The timing and amount of the wager have raised questions about whether this represents an informed position or speculative gambling.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
The probability that Bitcoin will decline to $55,000 this year is as high as 73%.
ChainCatcher reports that, according to Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $55,000 by 2026 is as high as 73%, while the probability of reaching $100,000 on the upside is only 38%.
GateNewsBot3h ago
Netherlands imposes heavy penalty on Polymarket! Illegally providing prediction market services, potentially facing a fine of up to 840,000 euros
The Dutch gambling authority Ksa has issued a cease and desist order and fined Polymarket for providing gambling services in the Netherlands without a license, facing a penalty of €420,000 per week, with a maximum of €840,000. This incident has sparked legal controversy over whether prediction markets are considered gambling. Ksa emphasizes that unlicensed platforms are not allowed to operate in the market and that prediction markets may pose social risks, which could influence future regulatory trends.
ChainNewsAbmedia5h ago
The Netherlands bans Polymarket, deeming it illegal gambling. Prediction markets are facing setbacks across Europe.
The Dutch gambling regulatory authority KSA has classified Polymarket as illegal gambling, requiring it to cease operations locally and imposing a fine of €420,000 per week. The article discusses the legal positioning and regulatory trends of prediction markets, showing that Europe is tightening its stance compared to the more lenient approach in the United States, and emphasizes the regulatory challenges faced by Polymarket and the double-edged sword effect of globalization.
動區BlockTempo6h ago
The Clarity Act – a Potential ETH Super-Cycle Trigger As Prediction Markets Signal 90% Approval Odds
The crypto market is experiencing some serious sentiment shifts as legislators gain traction. After the Genius Act resulted in significant stablecoin inflows and boosted liquidity into 2025, focus has now shifted to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. According to Polymarket, there’s a 90%
BlockChainReporter11h ago
The probability that the court orders Trump to refund tariffs on Kalshi quickly rises to 66%
BlockBeats News, February 20 — According to prediction platform Kalshi, the market currently estimates a 66% probability that a court will order Trump to refund tariffs before July 2026, a significant increase from around 30% previously.
GateNewsBot18h ago
Federal Reserve Paper Highlights Kalshi as Emerging Macro Forecast Tool
The paper "Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets" highlights the effectiveness of prediction markets in forecasting macroeconomic indicators like inflation and GDP, showing they can outperform traditional methods. It acknowledges regulatory scrutiny while affirming their growing relevance in economics and finance.
ICOHOIDER22h ago
