Polymarket has pinned several prediction markets related to the US-Iran war.

Six Polymarket accounts suspected of insider trading, betting on US sanctions against Iran, profit of $1 million

According to analysis company BubblemapsSA's forecast, six newly opened accounts earned approximately $1 million by betting on the U.S. taking action against Iran before February 28. This has raised suspicions of insider trading, a pattern that has appeared in other prediction market cases.

Crypto Panic Surges Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions

Crypto markets plunged as U.S.-Iran tensions flared, leading to $1.8B in sell orders and $500M in liquidations, primarily in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Polymarket users profited from predicting strikes, showcasing the influence of geopolitical events on trader sentiment and market instability.

Betting on Polymarket that Khamenei will step down before March 31, probability soars to 93%

ChainCatcher reports that, according to Polymarket data, the probability of "Hamaney will step down as Iran's Supreme Leader before March 31" winning the market has surged sharply to 93% today, an increase of 85 percentage points from earlier, with the total market trading volume reaching $30.43 million.

Polymarket users bet that the US and Israel would not strike Iran, and after earning over $2 million in two months, they experienced a single-day loss of $6.5 million

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to Lookonchain monitoring, Polymarket user anoin123 previously kept betting that the US/Israel would not launch strikes against Iran, accumulating over $2 million in profit within two months. However, after the strike event occurred, anoin123 suffered a single-day loss of $6.5 million, shifting from a profit of over $2 million to a loss of more than $4.5 million.

New Wallet "Roeyha2026" Gains $96.8K on Iran Strike Prediction Bet

Gate News bot message, A newly created wallet named "Roeyha2026" spent $50K eleven hours ago on a prediction market bet that the US would strike Iran by March 1, 2026. The wallet has gained $96.8K since placing the bet.

Trump confirms U.S. strikes Iran, related prediction markets are about to settle

BlockBeats News, February 28 — Trump’s statement confirms U.S. strikes on Iran: Not long ago, the United States launched a major military operation in Iran. We will destroy Iran’s missiles and level their missile industry. Iran can never possess nuclear weapons. The U.S. will ensure Iran does not acquire nuclear weapons and will completely destroy Iran’s navy. According to PolyBeats monitoring, the probability of various markets predicting U.S. strikes on Iran on the Polymarket prediction market has already reached 100% and will be settled accordingly.