Gate News reports that on March 12, according to PolyBeats monitoring, two high-probability addresses on a prediction market platform collectively invested $15,000, betting that there will be no ceasefire between the US and Iran before May. The opening prices ranged from 50.6¢ to 51.5¢, currently trading at 52.5¢.
In geopolitical news, Iran continues to escalate attacks on Gulf shipping and energy facilities. Two oil tankers carrying Iraqi fuel oil caught fire in Iraqi waters. Iraqi port officials said preliminary investigations indicate the attack was carried out by small boats loaded with explosives coming from Iran. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains stalled, and analysts say there are no signs of de-escalation before safe passage is restored, nor any end in sight for the oil flow disruption.
Based on past trading patterns, this trader is not betting on whether the event will actually occur but is engaging in opening and closing positions at certain points for profit or loss. The involved account addresses are: 0x2120ea0323fcf5446233056467fdb852b4b12647 and 0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c95.
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