Crypto Macro News and Global Policy Updates

Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, demanding the restoration of passage through the Strait of Hormuz, escalating the situation. This move will weaken diplomatic buffers, escalate the nature of the conflict, and lead to increased volatility in the oil market, with oil prices and market volatility continuing to rise, reflecting market concerns over a prolonged conflict.

BlockBeats news, on March 29, starting today (March 29), multiple countries in Europe begin implementing Daylight Saving Time, which will advance the trading hours of the financial markets in Europe by one hour compared to Standard Time; starting next Monday, the trading hours for European stocks will be from 15:00 to 23:30 Beijing time; the release times for economic data in European countries will also be one hour earlier than Standard Time, please pay attention. (Jin Ten)

The article analyzes the potential global economic impact of the upcoming conflict between the U.S. and Iran, particularly on the energy market and the debt market. It is expected that during Easter weekend, the U.S. may take action, such as going to war, which would lead to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, soaring oil prices, and a significant contraction in the global bond market. The Federal Reserve, facing the triple pressures of inflation, a banking crisis, and war financing, may adopt a "financial repression" strategy to lower real interest rates. Ultimately, the risks in the bond market are considered a greater hidden danger.

Peter Van Valkenburgh warns that without passing the CLARITY Act, future U.S. administrations may impose strict regulations on crypto. He emphasizes the need for statutory protections to prevent reliance on political climates, as current agreements stall in Congress.

The crypto market remains stable amid geopolitical tensions, with a market cap of $2.31T. Bitcoin and Ethereum show slight gains, while notable gainers include TRUMP, IRIS, and PEPE. DeFi TVL rises, but NFT sales decline. Key companies adopt Solana's toolkit, and Singapore reports an $8.83M crypto theft.

The Wall Street Journal reports that Trump's media-driven strategy is losing influence over the markets, as investors now prioritize economic fundamentals over political messaging. This shift indicates a more stable and mature investor attitude amid ongoing volatility.

Gate News report, on March 29, a spokesperson for the Central Command of the Iranian Armed Forces, Khatam al-Anbiya, issued a statement in response to U.S. President Trump's threat of ground action against Iran. The statement said that if the relevant threats are carried out, the Iranian armed forces will respond decisively. The statement pointed out that U.S. military actions in the region are facing a serious situation, and that its related military deployments have already been struck. It also emphasized that the Iranian armed forces are prepared to respond to any potential military actions. (CCTV News)

BlockBeats news, on March 29, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April has decreased to 4.1% (which had briefly risen to 12.4% on March 23), while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95.9%.

The recent developments in the U.S.-Iran conflict have been escalating continuously. The U.S. 82nd Airborne Division has canceled the "Joint Readiness Training Center" rotation, the normally sea-lifted 82nd Combat Aviation Brigade is being airlifted, and blood supply reserves at U.S. military bases in the Middle East have increased by 500%. The largest overseas hospital of the U.S. Department of Defense—Landstuhl Regional Medical Center in Germany—has suspended some civilian services. The last time this combination of actions occurred was just before the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003. In the midst of this tense atmosphere, Trump suddenly posted that there had been "very, very good and productive conversations" between the U.S. and Iran, and announced that the U.S. would pause military strikes on Iran's energy infrastructure for five days. In the early hours of March 27, Beijing time, Trump posted again, stating that the pause would be extended until April 6. This objective fact contrasts with Trump’s

Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) snapped a four-week inflow streak, posting $296.18 million in net outflows for the week ending Friday. The reversal follows a sustained run of inflows totaling more than $2.2 billion across four consecutive weeks, including $787.31 million, $568.45 million

The US is reportedly preparing for a potential two-month ground invasion of Iran, with discussions on deploying up to 10,000 troops. Analysts suggest this could involve raids on key Iranian sites. The situation is fluid amidst ongoing military conflict and financial market reactions.

Peter Steinberger, the founder of OpenClaw, pointed out that there is a significant difference in the acceptance of AI agents between China and the United States. China is actively promoting OpenClaw, becoming the world's largest testing ground for AI agents, despite the government having restricted state-owned enterprises from using it; while the United States is relatively conservative, with some companies having security concerns about using open AI tools. Steinberger will also join OpenAI to promote the development of Codex technology and is establishing the OpenClaw Foundation, hoping to maintain a neutral stance and promote global collaboration.

Gate News reported that on March 29, Hong Kong Legislative Council member Wu Jiezhuang, together with South Korean National Assembly members, jointly launched the "Hong Kong-Korea Web3 Policy Promotion Alliance." The alliance focuses on five key areas: digital asset regulation, stablecoin mechanisms, artificial intelligence development, blockchain infrastructure interconnection, and regulatory standards. It is reported that this is Asia's first cross-regional civil policy cooperation platform.

The Bitcoin mining industry is facing severe challenges, with mining costs skyrocketing to $88,000, while the Bitcoin price is around $68,000, leading to increased losses for miners. As geopolitical risks and high oil prices take their toll, hash power continues to decline, and industry pressure has also triggered market instability. Many mining companies are beginning to transition to AI and high-performance computing in order to survive.

On March 27, the Ethereum spot ETF saw a net outflow of $48.5445 million, continuing for 8 days. BlackRock's Staked ETH ETF had a net inflow of $39.8575 million, while BlackRock's ETF ETHA had a net outflow of $70.8047 million. The total assets under management are $11.3223 billion, with a net asset ratio of 4.72%.

On March 27, the total net outflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs was $225 million, with BlackRock's IBIT seeing the largest single-day net outflow of $202 million. The current total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $84.772 billion, with a historical cumulative net inflow of $55.935 billion.

Robert Kiyosaki advocates for long-term investment in non-inflatable assets like oil, real estate, and cryptocurrencies amid market downturn concerns. He focuses on accumulating tangible assets, aiming to prosper during economic crises, and has recently resumed buying before a predicted market collapse in 2026.

Digital asset ETPs saw a peak of over $250B, ending 2025 with $184B AUM, mainly driven by Bitcoin products. The market is evolving, with over 125 new filings indicating a trend toward diversified asset offerings.