The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 90.3%, with a 9.7% chance of a rate cut.

The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates in July

ChainCatcher reports that, according to Jinshi, traders now believe the Federal Reserve will wait until July to cut interest rates.

Global Market Collapse Next Week? Fed Liquidity Moves Raise Red Flags Across Stocks And Crypto

The global money market faces significant volatility, driven by systemic funding issues highlighted by a macro analyst. Recent liquidity injections from the U.S. and China, alongside shifts in the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, suggest underlying market stress, potentially foreshadowing a downturn in risk assets, including crypto.

Federal Reserve Paper Highlights Kalshi as Emerging Macro Forecast Tool

The paper "Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets" highlights the effectiveness of prediction markets in forecasting macroeconomic indicators like inflation and GDP, showing they can outperform traditional methods. It acknowledges regulatory scrutiny while affirming their growing relevance in economics and finance.

Wall Street elites and government officials gather at Mar-a-Lago, with the Trump family project WFLI acting as a crypto advocate

Written by: Li Dan Source: Wall Street Journal Although cryptocurrencies have plummeted this year, the Trump family appears to be trying to save face. The cryptocurrency platform they support is reshaping the relationship between Wall Street and digital assets. On Wednesday, the 19th, Eastern Time, the Trump family-involved cryptocurrency platform World Liberty Financial hosted a conference at Mar-a-Lago. The event brought together financial industry executives, government officials, and crypto industry figures, highlighting how virtual assets are both a policy priority and a family profit center during Trump's second term. This event by World Liberty Financial attracted about 500 attendees, including Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon. The former cryptocurrency skeptic revealed at the conference that he holds .

FED Kashkari blasts: Cryptocurrencies are "useless," stablecoins are a "hodgepodge of buzzwords"

While the White House actively embraces cryptocurrencies, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has reportedly voiced strong opposition. Neel Kashkari, President of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, went on the offensive on Thursday, stating that cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and stablecoins, have yet to prove any "practical use." At the "2026 Midwestern Economic Outlook Summit" held in Fargo, North Dakota, Neel Kashkari compared the everyday practicality of artificial intelligence (AI) tools to cryptocurrencies. "Cryptocurrencies have been around for over 10 years, yet they remain useless," he said. In contrast, AI technology "has genuine long-term development potential for the U.S. economy." To support his point, he asked the audience on the spot: how many people in the past week have used ChatGPT or Gemini?

The United States will release the key data for December PCE and Q4 GDP tonight.

ChainCatcher reports that at 21:30 Beijing time, the United States will unveil key data including the December PCE Price Index and the Q4 actual GDP annualized quarterly rate. The market generally expects inflation to modestly rebound and the economy to remain resilient. This combination could impact the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut outlook and reinforce the stance of holding steady. Caution is advised for market fluctuations at that time.